Infrastructure to 2050

The platform for accelerating Australia’s next era of growth

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  • Insight
  • 9 minute read
  • July 22, 2026
Clara Cutajar

Clara Cutajar

Partner, Global Infrastructure Leader, PwC Australia

Michael Burns

Michael Burns

Aviation Centre Of Excellence, PwC Australia

Lachy Haynes

Lachy Haynes

Partner, Advisory, Energy Utilities & Resources, PwC Australia

Bernadette Ong

Bernadette Ong

Partner, Deals, Transaction Services, PwC Australia


The takeaways

  • Australia will invest around AUD$6.2 trillion in infrastructure by 2050. But scale won't be the differentiator. How well that investment is coordinated across power, transport, digital and social systems will decide what it actually delivers.

  • The shape of infrastructure investment is shifting. Coal's projected exit has moved from 2037 to 2049, while digital and defence spending is set to more than double. Long-term planning will need to reflect these changing priorities rather than past assumptions.

  • Australia has a genuine opportunity to become Asia-Pacific's trusted digital infrastructure hub—but only if it can offer speed and certainty on power, grid connections, land and planning. The capital will follow whoever moves first.
     

Australia’s infrastructure system will define the nation’s productivity, resilience and economic performance over the next 25 years. Delivering on this ambition will require expanding capacity, decarbonising core systems and boosting resilience to support a larger, older, and more digitally connected population. As electrification, data, automation, and circular resource flows redefine our world, infrastructure will extend beyond roads, rail, ports, and power stations. It will encompass the digital, environmental, industrial, and social systems that underpin productivity and enhance well-being.

The PwC Global Infrastructure Outlook, 2025–50, developed with Oxford Economics, highlights the magnitude of the global challenge: A cumulative AUD$227.6 trillion (USD$151.1 trillion) is required to build and maintain global infrastructure by 2050. Asia-Pacific is expected to lead, accounting for 52% of this investment, with annual spending projected to climb from AUD$3.5 trillion (USD$2.3 trillion) in 2024 to AUD$5.4 trillion (USD$3.6 trillion) by 2050. This growth will be propelled by rapid urbanisation, demographic shifts, and accelerating industrial transformation.

Australia will play a pivotal role. From 2025 to 2050, the nation is forecast to invest approximately AUD$6.2 trillion into infrastructure, making it the fourth-largest market in Asia-Pacific and the sixth globally by 2050. Annual investment is expected to rise from AUD$208 billion in 2024 to AUD$286 billion by 2050. This surge in investment indicates a need for a fundamental evolution in the infrastructure lifecycle and the stakeholders involved at every stage.

The Outlook redefines infrastructure strategy. It's not just about managing a single investment cycle or capturing the next wave of spending. It's about building interconnected systems across sectors and regions that grow at different rates. This requires a sustained, coordinated commitment to planning, financing, and delivering infrastructure over decades, rather than on a project-by-project basis. 

The opportunity is immense. Yet, capturing it will require more than just capital. Organisations will face increasing pressure to manage complex, interdependent infrastructure portfolios that simultaneously drive growth, resilience, and decarbonisation—all while maintaining cost discipline and long-term performance. Funding and financing models must adapt as asset classes, risk profiles, and operational needs reshape the investment landscape. Australia will need to enhance project selection, expedite approvals, build workforce capabilities, improve delivery models, and establish clearer pathways for private capital to collaborate with government to capture the potential of this investment.

At a glance – Australia by the numbers

  • Current infrastructure spend: AUD$208.3 billion in 2024
  • Forecast annual spend: AUD$286.0 billion by 2050

  • Growth in annual spend: 37%

  • Cumulative investment, 2025–2050: AUD$6.2 trillion 

  • Share of global spend: 3.1%

  • Share of Asia-Pacific spend: 5.9%

  • Population growth to 2050: 29%
     

$54.0bn $60.3bn $29.7bn $24.2bn $16.6bn $13.7bn $3.5bn $3.8bn $2.5bn $60.4bn $86.2bn $53.6bn $33.1bn $20.1bn $17.5bn $5.4bn $4.5bn $5.2bn $0bn $10bn $20bn $30bn $40bn $50bn $60bn $70bn $80bn $90bn $100bn Transport Resources Social Infrastructure Power Digital Infrastructure Water Agriculture Industrial Manufacturing Defence 2024 2050

Resources: bulk commodities anchor growth as critical minerals emerge

Australia’s resources infrastructure system underpins export performance, energy security and long-term economic resilience, making it critical to support both established industries and the next wave of growth. By 2050, cumulative spending of AUD$1.8 trillion highlights the ongoing structural importance of resources infrastructure to Australia’s export performance and long-term economic prosperity. 

In the broader Resources sector, Metals & Minerals will dominate construction activity, with infrastructure spend expected to reach AUD$58 billion by 2050. While critical minerals projects are increasing in number, large bulk commodity projects will continue to lead nearly two-thirds of construction activity and infrastructure spending, reflecting their scale and the necessary infrastructure across production, processing and export supply chains.

Critical minerals can learn from Australia’s bulk commodities experience, where long-term capital commitments and infrastructure development have underpinned economies of scale. Shared infrastructure and coordinated planning could support multiple critical minerals projects to create effective export routes. Developing project clusters—based on geographic proximity or proximity to existing infrastructure like ports, road, rail, and utilities—could help to pool resources, lower delivery risk, improve production, and enhance project economics.

Oil & Gas infrastructure spending is set to rise from AUD$18.3 billion in 2024 to AUD$24.8 billion in 2050, driven by ongoing demand from major trading partners, domestic supply pressures and a renewed focus on energy security amid geopolitical uncertainty. In contrast Coal infrastructure spending is expected to decline from AUD$11 billion to AUD$3.3 billion, consistent with current policy settings. However, the pace of this decline remains uncertain and will depend on trading-partner decarbonisation, regulatory changes and system planning. The Australian Energy Market Operator’s 2026 Integrated System Plan illustrates this uncertainty: while coal was previously expected to exit the market by 2037–38, the adjusted Step Change Scenario now retains coal until 2048–49.

Overall, the outlook is one of transition rather than decline. The central task for Australia’s resources infrastructure system will be to enable critical minerals growth, maintain reliable export capability, support energy security needs, and manage the gradual shift away from coal in line with market, policy and trading-partner dynamics.

Australian Snapshot

  • Annual spending in 2024: AUD$60.3 billion
  • Projected annual spending in 2050: AUD$86.2 billion
  • 25-year CAGR: 1.4%
  • Increase in annual spending by 2050: 43%
  • Cumulative spending by 2050: AUD$1.8 trillion
$30.9bn $18.3bn $11.0bn $58.0bn $24.8bn $3.3bn $0bn $10bn $20bn $30bn $40bn $50bn $60bn $70bn Metals & Minerals Oil & Gas Coal 2024 2050

Transport: keeping Australia moving as demand reshapes the network 

Australia’s transport challenge is no longer about building more—it’s about building smarter as demand rises and shifts at once. With AUD$1.4 trillion in investment forecast between 2025 and 2050, transport remains one of the country's largest infrastructure markets. Roads and bridges account for the largest share, followed by rail, airports and ports. This investment landscape reveals a system under pressure from two sides: years of deferred maintenance and rising demand.

Growth in annual transport spend is expected to be steady rather than transformational. However, the composition of investment is broadening. New projects like Western Sydney Airport and Melbourne's third runway will strengthen international connectivity, support tourism and freight, and create new job hubs. Port upgrades will enhance trade, accommodate larger vessels, and bolster defence logistics.

Rail will remain strategically important although the scale of investment compared to the return will continue to define the investment. The proposed high-speed rail from Sydney to Newcastle aims to better link major cities and regional economies but requires much more work on the fundamentals for the project to proceed. Inland Rail has shown both the promise and pitfalls of nation-building projects. Rising costs, scope changes, and delays highlight the need for clear governance, realistic budgeting, early risk management, and ongoing coordination across jurisdictions.

Digital technologies will be key in transforming the Transport sector. The merging of digital and physical infrastructure will create resilient and sustainable mobility systems—integrated multimodal networks combining roads, rail, ports, airports, and digital backbones. Smart ports and airports will drive economic growth by using automation, data analytics, and low-carbon technologies to boost efficiency and sustainability.

Australian Snapshot

  • Annual spending in 2024: AUD$54.0 billion

  • Projected annual spending in 2050: AUD$60.4 billion

  • 25-year CAGR: 0.4%

  • Increase in annual spending by 2050: 11.8%

  • Cumulative spending by 2050: AUD$1.4 trillion

$54.0bn $60.3bn $29.7bn $24.2bn $16.6bn $13.7bn $3.5bn $3.8bn $2.5bn $60.4bn $86.2bn $53.6bn $33.1bn $20.1bn $17.5bn $5.4bn $4.5bn $5.2bn $0bn $10bn $20bn $30bn $40bn $50bn $60bn $70bn $80bn $90bn $100bn Transport Resources Social Infrastructure Power Digital Infrastructure Water Agriculture Industrial Manufacturing Defence 2024 2050

Social infrastructure: meeting the demands of a growing and ageing population

Social infrastructure is critical to delivering health, care and education outcomes at scale—supporting a growing population and an ageing society. The sector is forecast to attract AUD$1.1 trillion between 2025 and 2050. Health and aged care represent the largest share, while education also requires ongoing investment.

Social infrastructure includes health, aged care, and education facilities. Unlike other sectors, the investment for this asset class isn’t driven by technology disruption or the energy transition. It's driven by something more certain: growing populations, an ageing society, and to provide an education for our children. Spending on social infrastructure is projected to climb from AUD$29.7 billion in 2024 to AUD$53.6 billion by 2050.

The task isn't just to build more hospitals. Australia needs infrastructure that supports integrated care models across hospitals, primary care, aged care, mental health, virtual care, and community settings. Public-private partnerships can contribute, but these models must evolve with clearer risk allocation, stronger performance measures, and adaptability to new technologies and clinical practices.

Education infrastructure faces a different disruption. AI, digital learning and evolving workforce needs are reshaping learning environments. Decisions made today should consider not just current enrolment demand, but also how schools, universities and vocational institutions might operate in 2040 and beyond.

Australian Snapshot

  • Annual spending in 2024: AUD$29.7 billion 
  • Projected annual spending in 2050: AUD$53.6 billion 
  • 25-year CAGR: 2.3% 
  • Increase in annual spending by 2050: 80.5% 
  • Cumulative spending by 2050: AUD$1.1 trillion 
$18.3bn $11.4bn $38.2bn $15.3bn $0bn $10bn $20bn $30bn $40bn $50bn Health & Aged Care Education 2024 2050

Power: the energy transition requires coordination as well as capital

Power infrastructure is central to Australia’s decarbonisation and economic growth, enabling the transition to a cleaner, more electrified and interconnected economy. Australia’s power infrastructure is forecast to attract AUD$805 billion between 2025 to 2050, with annual investment rising by 37%. As coal-fired generation retires, there’s a pressing need for sustained investment in renewables, storage, transmission, distribution and system services. This investment will be essential for decarbonisation and will also fuel growth in sectors like resources, digital infrastructure, industry and transport.

But the challenge isn't just about securing enough capital. The power system is increasingly interconnected. Generation, storage, transmission, planning approvals, market design, community acceptance and grid connection processes all need to move together. A delay in one part of the system can shake confidence across the pipeline. Investors will need clearer pathways to manage regulatory, construction, connection and revenue risk. Policymakers must support enabling infrastructure, including common-user assets that can unlock private investment and improve system-wide productivity.

Australian Snapshot

  • Annual spending in 2024: AUD$24.2 billion 
  • Projected annual spending in 2050: AUD$33.1 billion 
  • 25-year CAGR: 1.2% 
  • Increase in annual spending by 2050: 37% 
  • Cumulative spending by 2050: AUD$805 billion 
$11.3bn $10.6bn $1.0bn $1.2bn $15.6bn $14.9bn $1.2bn $1.4bn $0bn $10bn $20bn Renewables Transmission & Distribution Fossil Fuels Storage 2024 2050

Digital infrastructure: capturing the Asia-Pacific growth opportunity

Digital infrastructure underpins productivity, connectivity and growth, enabling the data, compute and networks that power a modern, digital economy. Digital infrastructure is forecast to attract AUD$449 billion from 2025 to 2050, primarily covering the civil and structural components of data centres; the broader opportunity including technology, hardware, software and IT systems presents an even greater opportunity. 

Australia is well positioned to become a trusted digital infrastructure hub for the Asia-Pacific region. Demand is accelerating for AI compute capacity, cloud services, sovereign data storage, fibre networks, subsea cables and low-earth-orbit satellite connectivity. Australia’s competitive advantages include political stability, proximity to Asian markets, strong cyber and data governance, access to renewable energy, land availability and deep pools of infrastructure capital.

The prize is not simply more data centres. It is a larger role in the regional digital economy, stronger sovereign capability and a more productive domestic infrastructure system. To capture it, Australia will need reliable low-emissions power, faster grid connections, suitable land, water access, planning certainty and cyber resilience. Countries that can offer speed, certainty and scale will be best placed to attract capital and reap the wider benefits. If Australia can move to become the Asia-Pacific Digital Infrastructure hub, the rewards could be significant.

Australian Snapshot

  • Annual spending in 2024: AUD$16.6 billion 
  • Projected annual spending in 2050: AUD$20.1 billion 
  • 25-year CAGR: 0.7% 
  • Increase in annual spending by 2050: 20.9% 
  • Cumulative spending by 2050: AUD$449 billion 
$12.4bn $4.2bn $15.6bn $4.5bn $0bn $10bn $20bn Digital Network Data Centres 2024 2050

Defence: strengthening national resilience

Defence infrastructure has become central to national resilience, supporting readiness, deterrence and economic continuity in an increasingly contested world. In Australia, this shift points to sustained growth in investment, aligned with government commitments to strengthen defence capability.  

Defence infrastructure is forecast to attract AUD$105.4 billion between 2025 and 2050, with annual spend rising by 110%. This reflects a more contested strategic environment and a stronger focus on readiness, deterrence, sustainment and sovereign capability.

The defence infrastructure task extends beyond bases and shipyards. Modern capability depends on dual-use networks: ports, airfields, roads, rail, fuel, water, energy, digital systems and industrial precincts. These assets support military operations, humanitarian response, supply chain resilience and economic continuity. As geopolitical and climate risks intensify, governments and investors will place greater value on redundancy, adaptability and long-term optionality, even where those benefits are not fully captured in traditional financial metrics.

Australian Snapshot

  • Annual spending in 2024: AUD$2.5 billion 
  • Projected annual spending in 2050: AUD$5.2 billion 
  • 25-year CAGR: 2.9% 
  • Increase in annual spending by 2050: 110.3% 
  • Cumulative spending by 2050: AUD$105.4 billion 
$2.5bn $5.2bn $0bn $6bn Defence 2024 2050

The strategic test for Australia

Australia’s infrastructure outlook to 2050 is defined by both scale and complexity. The pipeline is deep, demand is clear across sectors, and the nation has significant advantages—from critical minerals and renewable energy potential to robust institutions and proximity to Asia’s growth markets. But the real hurdle will be delivery. Meeting the task ahead will require more than project-by-project execution; it demands a coordinated national infrastructure system. This means long-term planning that can withstand political cycles, clearer prioritisation of the projects that matter most, and integrated decision-making across power, transport, digital, water and social infrastructure. It also means enhancing delivery productivity through AI-enabled planning, digital twins, modular construction and more efficient procurement; developing commercial models that reward resilience, emissions reduction and user experience; and engaging communities earlier and more meaningfully, particularly in the regions hosting the energy transition.

To achieve this, financing must be innovative. Capital recycling, blended finance, standardised risk frameworks and new insurance products will be essential to attract private capital alongside the public balance sheet at scale. 

The moment is now.

The next five to ten years will determine Australia’s infrastructure trajectory for the next quarter-century. Globally, the demand for capital, skills, materials and supply chain capacity will intensify, and countries that act swiftly will be better placed to secure the capability needed to deliver. For Australia, the challenge isn't just about spending A$6.2 trillion by 2050. It’s about deploying that investment wisely—sequenced with intent, coordinated across systems, and directed towards assets that a future economy genuinely needs. Capital alone won’t set us apart. Alignment will—across policy, planning, funding, delivery and community outcomes. If Australia can build this alignment now, infrastructure can do more than just keep pace with growth. It can strengthen productivity, accelerate decarbonisation, improve resilience and help shape the next era of national prosperity. 

About the authors

Clara Cutajar
Clara Cutajar

Partner, Global Infrastructure Leader, PwC Australia

Michael Burns
Michael Burns

Aviation Centre Of Excellence, PwC Australia

Lachy Haynes
Lachy Haynes

Partner, Advisory, Energy Utilities & Resources, PwC Australia

Bernadette Ong
Bernadette Ong

Partner, Deals, Transaction Services, PwC Australia

Definition of infrastructure methodology 

Infrastructure spending is defined as gross fixed capital formation (GFCF) by the public and private sectors on fixed, immovable structures that support long-term economic growth. In addition to new spending, it includes replacement spending and capital expenditure on maintenance (i.e. to substantively extend the lifetime of an asset). This measure is a subset of total fixed spending and excludes cultivated biological resources, intellectual property products, transport equipment, defence equipment and information and communications technology (ICT) equipment.

The definition of infrastructure spending has varying implications for different sectors. A few examples: ICT equipment, such as CPUs and GPUs, which represents a significant proportion of the capital outlays for data centre construction, is not included under the definition of infrastructure. Power infrastructure assets such as solar panels are not explicitly defined under the OECD definition of GFCF. Transport equipment such as rolling stock or ships and planes in the defence sector are not included in the infrastructure figures.

It should be noted that this is our preferred definition, but the analysis has required us to collect data from a wide range of sources, and definitions inevitably vary across those sources. We have attempted to identify the available data that most closely aligns with the definitions used.

Sector Definitions

Agriculture: The growing of crops, raising and breeding of animals, and harvesting of timber and other plants, including the cost of irrigation and drainage, on-farm structures, and storage facilities.

Digital infrastructure: The information and communications sectors, including towers, fibre and cable networks, data centres, and related facilities.

Defence: Physical installations that support defence, including barracks and other military facilities; transport networks, depots, and warehouses; ship-building facilities and dry docks; and communications infrastructure.

Industrial manufacturing: Plants, facilities, and networks that support heavy metals and chemicals processing, petroleum refining, and automotive manufacturing.

Power: Generation, storage, and distribution of electricity, including renewable assets, fossil fuel and nuclear power plants, transmission and distribution, and battery storage.

Resources: The exploration, extraction, processing, transportation, and storage of oil and gas, coal, metals, and minerals, including mining facilities, pipelines, refineries, and storage terminals.

Social infrastructure: The provision of health or education services, including aged care facilities.

Transport: Transportation, including roads, bridges, tunnels, railways, airports, ports, and marine works.

Water: The treatment and distribution of water, including sewage and drainage systems. Assets include treatment plants, dams, pipelines, and drains.

Data sources

The main challenge in providing comparative infrastructure spending figures across countries and sectors is the lack of a single and consistent dataset. A comprehensive data sourcing exercise was undertaken for the analysis contained in this report. Most data sources, accessed in 2025, provided figures up to either 2023 or 2024.

The main sources of spending data used were the OECD, Eurostat, and national statistical agencies. Data that was not available from official public sources was estimated with a variety of techniques. This process involved using additional data sources (International Energy Agency, Milex), estimating sectoral infrastructure spending from sectoral capital expenditure, or using available metrics from peer countries to estimate spending.

Spending forecast methodology

Oxford Economics created a new database of infrastructure spending forecasts to anchor PwC’s research. The forecasts are based on Oxford Economics proprietary models for the construction industry and cover nine sectors in 45 countries and territories. The infrastructure spending forecasts are globally consistent and are linked through global and country-level assumptions of trade volume and prices, competitiveness, capital flows, interest and exchange rates, and commodity prices. For a particular country and sector, the infrastructure spending forecast is informed by end-use demand factors such as population growth, income growth, cost of capital, and economic activity across sectors. Given the changing composition of economies over time, the infrastructure spending forecast will diverge from country-level GDP.

The database provides a structural economic framework that considers both supply and demand factors affecting sectoral growth. This is distinct from spending projections based on a pipeline of publicly announced projects, which are unable to provide long-term projections of spending due to a lack of project visibility in the future. The new infrastructure spending forecasts provide a macroeconomic outlook on future spending outcomes across the countries and sectors examined in this report.

The calculations for defence stem from a slightly different methodology. Unlike other sectors, these projections are not derived from structural economic modelling; instead, they assume a fixed share of GDP, adjusted for announced and anticipated changes to defence spending as a percentage of future GDP. These reflect policy signals such as NATO’s interim target of allocating 1.5% of GDP to defence infrastructure (excluding equipment and personnel) by 2035, on the path towards a longer-term ambition of 5% of GDP.

Throughout this Outlook, growth percentages are calculated based on exact projections rather than the rounded sums mentioned in the narrative.

Australian figures in this Outlook are presented in 2023 Australian dollars, converted from The Global Infrastructure Outlook’s real 2023 US dollar forecasts. Totals may not sum due to rounding.

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